Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.185862 54.196525 60.462703 67.465412 75.055269 83.015749 91.978679
2024-10-20 38.313047 46.998195 56.619605 67.990417 80.981348 95.281396 112.131452
2024-10-27 31.516637 41.214810 52.440775 66.236834 82.571206 101.132710 123.651250
2024-11-03 28.641588 39.449192 52.406025 68.821676 88.793116 112.032754 140.835874
2024-11-10 25.849404 37.360774 51.612381 70.168949 93.292221 120.758867 155.428530
2024-11-17 22.963618 34.799397 49.917271 70.120780 95.866791 127.034594 167.035932
2024-11-24 21.590618 34.050876 50.385732 72.685677 101.621436 137.183919 183.427482
2024-12-01 19.413743 31.979472 48.921148 72.578216 103.860891 142.913274 194.381212
2024-12-08 17.239561 29.694919 46.972338 71.648180 104.890343 147.023933 203.274850
2024-12-15 15.638067 28.084403 45.809082 71.647710 107.041675 152.511204 213.909570
2024-12-22 14.221247 26.614133 44.721370 71.642774 109.108553 157.853311 224.375555
2024-12-29 13.726458 26.520354 45.584678 74.354418 114.869716 168.079856 241.265397
2025-01-05 12.722756 25.560811 45.153107 75.252363 118.240386 175.326527 254.564146
2025-01-12 11.721104 24.518012 44.529571 75.831012 121.167024 182.033347 267.279364
2025-01-19 10.250606 22.531549 42.313016 73.926926 120.479705 183.784698 273.375045
2025-01-26 9.956997 22.566598 43.248019 76.731333 126.526246 194.755061 291.907562
2025-02-02 9.404340 22.082590 43.312211 78.192032 130.643297 203.123180 307.035318
2025-02-09 8.602045 21.059492 42.429718 78.139821 132.524502 208.400527 318.020745
2025-02-16 8.390636 21.135725 43.359720 80.919203 138.603204 219.592861 337.192183
2025-02-23 7.682892 20.176747 42.484792 80.802796 140.359089 224.727964 348.105695
2025-03-02 6.892606 18.967173 41.099478 79.795190 140.720875 227.861737 356.261624
2025-03-09 6.328534 18.162826 40.366380 79.794681 142.574732 233.114099 367.391127
2025-03-16 5.811025 17.400740 39.657187 79.789332 144.394679 238.317754 378.489786